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This basic research is working toward managing urban land developements
through simulation of the interaction between the natural processes
and the urban land usage. Direct impacts on the landscape (for example
compression of soils and damage to vegetation) can result in significant
indirect impacts (for example, increased erosion, decreased habitat
for sensitive species, legal complications, and decreased training land
accessibility) later. If the landscape state can be captured and combined
with rules which describe the interactions between and among the natural
and the human components, it will be possible to test and evaluate different
management schedules. This will optimize the utility of available training
lands.
Modeling and simulation provide an approach for experimenting with pieces
of the physical world through conceptual representations. They demonstrate
the implications of assumptions about the world and have been used by
ecologists in recent decades for simulating system behavior. Most of
these efforts have been at the full ecosystem level. That is, ecosystems
were treated as homogeneous wholes with little or no recognition of
the importance of the spatial arrangements of the ecosystems' components.
Recently, the disciplines of landscape ecology and biogeography have
merged with the understanding that the spatial orientation of interacting
ecosystem components is critical to the system modeling process, especially
when the main focus of the model is a mobile component.
Each ecosystem is unique and must be modeled as such. Critical variables
such as weather, soils, microclimates, keystone species, human interventions,
elevation profiles, stream networks, seasonal temperature, and rainfall
probabilities make every patch of landscape different. Ecological computer
modelers must generate simulations from basic building blocks. For many,
this has meant using a programming language such as FORTRAN, Pascal,
or C. Others may utilize higher-level languages such as Lisp, Smalltalk,
or Prolog. Ecological systems can even be assembled with spreadsheet
software. Yet despite the uniqueness of ecosystems, the authors of this
report thought the process of modeling over broad spatial areas might
be standardized. One goal of their research was to establish a procedure
for accurately incorporating the pertinent ecological and biological
information within the model. A second goal was to demonstrate the process
for interpreting the dependence of endangered species on the ecosystem
and on the impacts of human activity.
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